The Surprise Party: How the Coalition Went from Chaos to Comeback
by Aaron Patrick
Published by Black Inc.,an imprint of Schwartz Books Pty Ltd
2019
This remarkable book is a work of recent Australian political history of the events which led to Scott Morrison not only becoming leader of the Liberal Party and immediately Prime Minister of Australia but also unexpectedly winning the subsequent 2019 general election. The chaos in the tag line to the title of the book were the events within the governing party which saw the Prime Minister Tony Abbott being replaced by Malcolm Turnbull who in turn was challenged by Peter Dutton leading to Morrison becoming the occupant of the Lodge. A mirror image of the raucous de-stabilisation of the previous Rudd-Gillard-Rudd governments on the Labor side of politics. Patrick charts what led to Morrison becoming PM and how he won the most unlikely of elections leading to the famous remark on election night by the practitioner of ‘glossolalia’ and born-again Christian, “I believe in miracles !” A miracle indeed.
Patrick is well placed to write so perceptively of this era. He is a multiple award winning journalist and for the past five years has been the Senior Correspondent with the Australian Financial Review. In his youth he had been a keen member of Young Labor in Victoria and had been an adviser to Bill Shorten. He has written other political histories such as Downfall;How the Labor Party ripped itself apart, (about the Rudd-Gillard years); Credlin & Co ( The Abbott period in office) and Ego (the title says it all about the Turnbull period ). Despite his youthful flirtation with the ALP he gives all sides a critical assessment devoid of partisanship with the keen eye of not just an historian but also a novelist.
As a novelist his descriptions of the major participants throughout this period are sniffy but acute, he doesn’t miss their foibles and strengths, he says; of Kim Beazley is ‘much-liked but ineffectual; of Kevin Rudd and Bill Shorten both ‘self-defined messiahs’; further of Shorten that his perception of the economy had not much progressed far from being ‘a trainee lawyer in Melbourne’ trawling for workers’ comp punters (Ouch!); of Tony Abbott his attempt at budget reform was ‘an immediate political failure’; of Malcolm Turnbull watching Abbott stumble and who ‘surreptiously greased the fall’; of Morrison he possessed an ‘anti-intellectual style’. Of minor participants in this morality play he says; of Peta Credlin ‘famously abrasive’;of Vaucluse MP Gabriel Upton ‘in the declining years of her political career’; of Paul Keating was “making a fortune as a door opener for boutique investment bank, Lazard & Co” (an equivalent description given by Conrad Black about former PM Bob Hawke having embarrassingly become a greeter in a large international hotel in Double Bay); of Chris Bowen, as ‘pixie-like who humblebragged’ and finally of ex-NSW Premier Kristina Keneally who ‘specialised in outrage’.
As an historian his analysis as to why Turnbull failed as Prime Minister is accurate. Turnbull did not heed or even acknowledge the advice of Angus Taylor regarding the near defeat suffered by the LNP in 2016 concerning the shifting nature of party allegiance taking place which required political adjustments which ultimately Morrison did to secure his victory in 2019. Secondly, Turnbull failed to shore up his right flank by spurning the three big A’s, Abbott, Andrews and Abetz by not giving them Cabinet positions forgetting the maxim that ‘idle hands are the Devil’s work.’
Yet once Morrison was in place as Prime Minister, after the tumult of the previous few years, no one expected him to win. However as in Greek tragedies, hubris leads to nemesis, the ALP made some fatal mistakes.
The first of many of which was the franking credits tax debacle and Chris Bowen’s arrogant response to retirees’ concern of double taxation being, ‘if people don’t want this to happen they are perfectly entitled to vote against us.’ This epithet gave many the green light to get their baseball bats out of storage.
Secondly, the cavalcade organised by ex-Senator Bob Brown to protest the Adani coal mine in central Queensland led to big swings to the LNP in country and regional electorates not just in that state but elsewhere. No drinks were served at any of the Clermont, QLD pubs to any thirsty Greenie.
Finally, letting Bill Shorten go on his morning jogs in front of the cameras, a Forrest Gump on steroids. ‘When he sped up, his arms and skinny legs pumped back and forth furiously, while his padded torso remained strangely rigid.’ If Bowen was a complete goose, Shorten looked like a prize dork.
Morrison’s daggy suburban Dad persona seemed more authentic than the Xavier College old boy in the cloth cap and newly acquired Collingwood scarf.
I look forward to Aaron Patrick’s next work on the Albanese Government.